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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Freiburg logo

Wolfsburg
0 - 1
Freiburg


Arnold (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gregoritsch (74')
Hofler (57'), Sallai (77'), Rohl (85'), Holer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-1 Freiburg
Sunday, December 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Freiburg

 Wolfsburg's season appears to have hit a major bump in the road in recent weeks, with Kovac's side seemingly unable to defend to any decent standard. Although their home form has been much stronger than their away record, we believe that they could be vulnerable to another defeat this weekend. Indeed, Freiburg enjoyed a free midweek having already been eliminated from the DFB-Pokal, so they could be fresher as they look to gain back-to-back victories away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawFreiburg
44.56% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.2%31.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)43.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)65.69% (0.012 0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)51.55% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)26.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)61.72% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 44.56%
    Freiburg 31.23%
    Draw 24.19%
WolfsburgDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.16%
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 44.56%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 31.23%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Freiburg

Wolfsburg
50.0%
Draw
15.4%
Freiburg
34.6%
26
Head to Head
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
2-0
Wolfsburg
Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
Sallai (31')
Hofler (90+2')

Wind (39'), Wimmer (54'), Gerhardt (67')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
6-0
Freiburg
Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
3-2
Wolfsburg
Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')
Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Wolfsburg
0-2
Freiburg

Steffen (7'), Guilavogui (26'), Mbabu (71')
Lienhart (27'), Holer (68')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
3-0
Freiburg
Brooks (21'), Weghorst (39'), Gerhardt (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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