Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.