Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 25.84% | 23.81% | 50.35% |
| Both teams to score 56.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.05% | 44.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.7% | 67.3% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% | 31.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.48% | 67.52% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% | 17.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.28% | 48.71% |
| Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 25.84%
Wolfsburg 50.35%
Draw 23.8%
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% 1-0 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.83% Total : 25.84% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-1 @ 9.61% 0-2 @ 8.26% 1-3 @ 5.52% 0-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.35% |
How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg
Mainz 05
18.2%Draw
7.8%Wolfsburg
74.0%77
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 23
Wolfsburg
4-0
Mainz
Sep 26, 2018 7.30pm
Feb 23, 2018 7.30pm
Form Guide
