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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
54.95% ( 1.15) | 21.82% ( -0.31) | 23.22% ( -0.85) |
Both teams to score 60.4% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.57% ( 0.5) | 38.43% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.28% ( 0.53) | 60.71% ( -0.54) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.02% ( 0.54) | 13.97% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.52% ( 1.06) | 41.47% ( -1.06) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% ( -0.42) | 29.78% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% ( -0.51) | 65.85% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.45% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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