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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
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B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Andrich (88'), Schick (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Beier (33')
Drexler (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Hoffenheim

 Still, with the ninth month of the season approaching, nobody has been able to get the better of Leverkusen, and in match number 39 of the season, another win is expected from the champions-elect. With just one win in their last nine away, and 22 games without a clean sheet, Hoffenheim are unlikely to end Leverkusen's excellent run, but they may give the league leaders a scare or two at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 83.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 5.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 4-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHoffenheim
83.74%10.48% (0.0019999999999989 0) 5.77%
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.26% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)4.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.6% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.39% (0.0029999999999966 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.19%81.8% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 83.74%
    Hoffenheim 5.77%
    Draw 10.48%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHoffenheim
3-0 @ 10.27%
2-0 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 6.32%
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 5.19%
5-1 @ 4.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.08%
6-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.45%
6-1 @ 2.13%
5-2 @ 1.56%
7-0 @ 1.25%
7-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 83.74%
1-1 @ 4.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 2.91%
0-0 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 10.48%
1-2 @ 1.83%
0-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 5.77%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim

Bayer Leverkusen
90.5%
Draw
5.3%
Hoffenheim
4.2%
95
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
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Hoffenheim
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Stach (56'), Weghorst (58')
Weghorst (45+3'), Kabak (48'), Promel (60')
Wirtz (9'), Grimaldo (45+1', 70')
Hradecky (72'), Tah (81')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Nsoki (77')
Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
B. Leverkusen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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