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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Werder Bremen logo

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

Vertessen (50'), Aaronson (52')
Vogt (26'), Gosens (27'), Tousart (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weiser (63')
Lynen (32'), Weiser (38'), Ducksch (41'), Stage (72'), Keita (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin
Friday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Werder Bremen

Union Berlin and Werder Bremen will both view Saturday's fixture as a winnable game, and while there is little to separate these two out-of-form teams, we believe that Bremen have the edge in the final third and that should get them over the line this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
50.76% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 24.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 25.05% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)47.26% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)69.49% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)18.64% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.05% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)49.95% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)33.06% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)69.65% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 50.76%
    Werder Bremen 25.05%
    Draw 24.18%
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 50.76%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 25.05%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen

Union Berlin
39.5%
Draw
34.2%
Werder Bremen
26.3%
38
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Werder Bremen
2-0
Union Berlin
Knoche (38' og.), Ducksch (75')
Stage (73')

Gosens (56'), Leite (80'), Hollerbach (85'), Laidouni (90+6')
Khedira (60')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
1-0
Werder Bremen
Khedira (81')
Laidouni (45+4')

Philipp (50'), Pavlenka (68'), Bittencourt (71')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Gross (33'), Selke (53')
Becker (12'), Awoniyi (28')
Andrich (25'), Promel (44'), Hubner (50'), Becker (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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