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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Werder Bremen logo

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

Vertessen (50'), Aaronson (52')
Vogt (26'), Gosens (27'), Tousart (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weiser (63')
Lynen (32'), Weiser (38'), Ducksch (41'), Stage (72'), Keita (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin
Friday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Werder Bremen

Union Berlin and Werder Bremen will both view Saturday's fixture as a winnable game, and while there is little to separate these two out-of-form teams, we believe that Bremen have the edge in the final third and that should get them over the line this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
50.76% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 24.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 25.05% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)47.26% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)69.49% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)18.64% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.05% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)49.95% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)33.06% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)69.65% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 50.76%
    Werder Bremen 25.05%
    Draw 24.18%
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 50.76%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 25.05%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen

Union Berlin
39.5%
Draw
34.2%
Werder Bremen
26.3%
38
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Werder Bremen
2-0
Union Berlin
Knoche (38' og.), Ducksch (75')
Stage (73')

Gosens (56'), Leite (80'), Hollerbach (85'), Laidouni (90+6')
Khedira (60')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
1-0
Werder Bremen
Khedira (81')
Laidouni (45+4')

Philipp (50'), Pavlenka (68'), Bittencourt (71')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Werder Bremen
0-2
Union Berlin

Gross (33'), Selke (53')
Becker (12'), Awoniyi (28')
Andrich (25'), Promel (44'), Hubner (50'), Becker (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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