MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:12:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
PreZero Arena
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Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Augsburg

Weghorst (17'), Kramaric (20'), Bebou (90')
Jurasek (41'), Kaderabek (51'), Weghorst (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Demirovic (61')
Tietz (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, March 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Augsburg

 While Augsburg undoubtedly come into this match with the better recent record, it is difficult to overlook their current injury list, which features several players that would make the starting 11 most weeks. Hoffenheim will likely throw everything into this match, given their current run of results, and we feel they will be able to claim a share of the spoils here against the short-handed visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
41.71% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57) 23.19% (0.521 0.52) 35.1% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 64.21% (-1.995 -2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.83% (-2.607 -2.61)37.17% (2.606 2.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.63% (-2.87 -2.87)59.37% (2.869 2.87)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-1.305 -1.31)18.31% (1.304 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (-2.262 -2.26)49.4% (2.261 2.26)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (-1.169 -1.17)21.4% (1.168 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (-1.834 -1.83)54.39% (1.833 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 41.71%
    Augsburg 35.1%
    Draw 23.19%
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.557 0.56)
2-0 @ 5.65% (0.247 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 41.71%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.51 0.51)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.478 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.124 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.543 0.54)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.265 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.1%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Augsburg

Hoffenheim
51.5%
Draw
28.8%
Augsburg
19.7%
66
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Augsburg
1-1
Hoffenheim
Demirovic (53')
Uduokhai (44')
Weghorst (23')
Promel (56'), Akpoguma (76')
> Preview
Feb 17, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Augsburg
1-0
Hoffenheim
Jensen (88')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hoffenheim
1-0
Augsburg
Geiger (39')
Promel (72')

Bauer (59')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hoffenheim
3-1
Augsburg
Bebou (38', 44'), Raum (90+3')
Baumgartner (75')
Gregoritsch (5')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Hoffenheim

Gouweleeuw (89')
Bruun Larsen (37'), Adamyan (79'), Rutter (87'), Rudy (90+5')
Raum (19'), Rudy (62')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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