Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund1 - 1B. Leverkusen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Atletico
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen
While many observers favour this Leverkusen side to win at Dortmund, Die Werkself have lost seven of their last eight visits to Signal Iduna Park and have not beaten BVB in three consecutive league meetings. The Bundesliga champions should avoid defeat in North Rhine-Westphalia, even if it may not be enough to nick maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
27.71% ( 0.03) | 21.99% ( 0.03) | 50.3% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.67% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
