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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Stuttgart

Dortmund
0 - 1
Stuttgart


Brandt (45+1'), Adeyemi (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guirassy (64')
Stiller (9'), Millot (26'), Karazor (71'), Nubel (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Heidenheim
Sunday, March 31 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Stuttgart

 Dortmund will be keen for revenge against a Stuttgart side that has already beaten them twice this season, and they look set to extend their winning run to six ahead of the trip to Madrid in midweek. Both teams have scored in 24 of the last 33 meetings, and the previous 22 encounters have produced a whopping 90 goals, so a thrilling encounter is likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.73%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
42.77% (-1.152 -1.15) 22.32% (-0.21 -0.21) 34.91% (1.361 1.36)
Both teams to score 67.54% (1.277 1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.19% (1.487 1.49)32.81% (-1.489 -1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.5% (1.696 1.7)54.5% (-1.697 -1.7)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89% (0.155 0.16)16.11% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.48% (0.282 0.28)45.51% (-0.283 -0.28)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (1.375 1.38)19.49% (-1.376 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.64% (2.203 2.2)51.36% (-2.205 -2.21)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 42.77%
    Stuttgart 34.91%
    Draw 22.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.431 -0.43)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.365 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-2 @ 7% (0.125 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-3 @ 2.32% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.097 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.13% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.225 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.224 0.22)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.16 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.153 0.15)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.098 0.1)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.91%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund
70.9%
Draw
16.6%
Stuttgart
12.6%
151
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Stuttgart
2-0
Dortmund
Guirassy (54'), Wamangituka (77')
Anton (64'), Karazor (90+2')

Bensebaini (67')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Stuttgart
2-1
Dortmund
Undav (42'), Guirassy (83' pen.)
Undav (15'), Karazor (59')
Fullkrug (36')
Kobel (10'), Adeyemi (15'), Sabitzer (49')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Stuttgart
3-3
Dortmund
Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Dortmund
5-0
Stuttgart
Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 29
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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