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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Dortmund logo

Bayern
0 - 2
Dortmund

FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (10'), Ryerson (83')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Karim Adeyemi and Julian Ryerson secure a 2-0 victory for Borussia Dortmund in Der Klassiker, leaving Bayern Munich's title ambitions in severe jeopardy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darmstadt 2-5 Bayern
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
69.07% (0.0010000000000048 0) 16.59%14.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.18% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)27.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.65% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)7.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.48% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.24% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.73% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 69.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 14.34%
    Draw 16.59%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 7.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 5.19%
4-0 @ 4.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.71%
5-0 @ 2.4%
5-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 69.07%
1-1 @ 7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.59%
1-2 @ 3.96%
0-1 @ 2.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-2 @ 1.52%
1-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 14.34%

How you voted: Bayern vs Dortmund

Bayern Munich
81.7%
Draw
13.0%
Borussia Dortmund
5.2%
115
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Dortmund
0-4
Bayern

Hummels (61'), Ryerson (74'), Sabitzer (76')
Upamecano (4'), Kane (9', 72', 90+3')
Sane (22'), Tuchel (42'), Laimer (85')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Kobel (13' og.), Muller (18', 23'), Coman (50')
Can (72' pen.), Malen (90')
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dortmund
2-2
Bayern
Moukoko (74'), Modeste (90+5')
Goretzka (33'), Sane (53')
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Bayern
3-1
Dortmund
Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')
Lewandowski (9', 77'), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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