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SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Bayern logo

Darmstadt
2 - 5
Bayern

Skarke (28'), Vilhelmsson (90+5')
Franjic (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Musiala (36', 64'), Kane (45+1'), Gnabry (74'), Tel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 8-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-4 Bayern Munich

Neither side can afford to drop points if they wish to boost their hopes of achieving their respective targets this season, but it will come as no surprise to many that Bayern enter Saturday's contest as firm favourites to come out on top. The Bundesliga's strongest attack, Bayern with 73 goals scored, should have few problems breaching the division's leakiest backline, Darmstadt with 60 goals conceded, en route to comfortably claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.92%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 8.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 2-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayern Munich
8.87% (0.052 0.05) 13.2% (0.011999999999999 0.01) 77.92% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.95% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.73% (0.116 0.12)26.27% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.45% (0.148 0.15)46.55% (-0.149 -0.15)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (0.194 0.19)39.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (0.179 0.18)76.46% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.59% (0.012 0.01)5.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.82% (0.037999999999997 0.04)21.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 8.87%
    Bayern Munich 77.92%
    Draw 13.2%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.67% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 8.87%
1-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 13.2%
0-2 @ 9.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 8.9% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 8.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-4 @ 6.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-4 @ 5.99% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 3.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.78% (0.022 0.02)
1-5 @ 3.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.76% (0.018 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 1.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 5.49%
Total : 77.92%

How you voted: Darmstadt vs Bayern

SV Darmstadt 98
Draw
Bayern Munich
SV Darmstadt 98
12.5%
Draw
6.9%
Bayern Munich
80.6%
72
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Bayern
8-0
Darmstadt
Kane (51', 69', 88'), Sane (56', 64'), Musiala (60', 76'), Muller (71')
Tuchel (7'), de Ligt (38')
Kimmich (4')

Bader (49'), Nurnberger (69')
Gjasula (21'), Maglica (41')
May 6, 2017 2.30pm
Dec 18, 2016 2.30pm
Feb 20, 2016 2.30pm
Bayern
3-1
Darmstadt
Muller (49', 71'), Lewandowski (84')
Rafinha (13'), Kimmich (50')
Wagner (26')
Dec 15, 2015 7.30pm
Third Round
Bayern
1-0
Darmstadt
Alonso (40')
Rafinha (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2510784439537
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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