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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Berisha (37')
Prass (35'), Matarazzo (61'), Akpoguma (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Terrier (17'), Boniface (30', 75'), Wirtz (72' pen.)
Terrier (39'), Andrich (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

 Though Hoffenheim have a strong home record in recent Bundesliga matches, Leverkusen will be looking to bounce back after their historic unbeaten streak came to an end. It would not be surprising if Alonso's side emerged as comfortable victors, although given their recent defensive frailty, they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.67%) and 0-1 (5.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
32.05% (-1.158 -1.16) 21.82% (-0.158 -0.16) 46.13% (1.315 1.32)
Both teams to score 68.35% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.69% (0.301 0.3)31.31% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.24% (0.354 0.35)52.75% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.45599999999999 -0.46)20.23% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.731 -0.73)52.56% (0.73 0.73)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.69% (0.571 0.57)14.31% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.87% (1.103 1.1)42.12% (-1.106 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 32.05%
    Bayer Leverkusen 46.13%
    Draw 21.82%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-0 @ 4.63% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.7% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 8.99% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.89% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 8.74% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.67% (0.171 0.17)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 4.53% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.155 0.16)
1-4 @ 2.76% (0.137 0.14)
2-4 @ 2.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.109 0.11)
3-4 @ 1.17% (0.026 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 46.13%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
9.7%
Draw
11.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
78.5%
93
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Hoffenheim
Andrich (88'), Schick (90+1')
Beier (33')
Drexler (19')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Hoffenheim
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Stach (56'), Weghorst (58')
Weghorst (45+3'), Kabak (48'), Promel (60')
Wirtz (9'), Grimaldo (45+1', 70')
Hradecky (72'), Tah (81')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Nsoki (77')
Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
B. Leverkusen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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