MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 07:44:08| >> :600:689955:689955:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld
Leverkusen logo

Carl Zeiss
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen


Reddemann (18'), Schau (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hofmann (52')
Andrich (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Carl Zeiss Jena and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carl Zeiss Jena

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Carl Zeiss 1-2 Sampdoria
Tuesday, July 30 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Friday, August 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Carl Zeiss Jena 2-5 Bayer Leverkusen

 Regardless of the changes that Leverkusen make, their squad is strong enough to overcome their fourth-tier opponents, and they should be clear favourites in Wednesday's clash. Having said that, given Carl Zeiss Jena's good attacking displays this season so far, it would not be surprising if they created chances against the Bundesliga champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 11.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Carl Zeiss Jena win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Carl Zeiss JenaDrawBayer Leverkusen
11.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 16.73% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 71.84% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.69% (-0.157 -0.16)36.31% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.56% (-0.174 -0.17)58.44% (0.178 0.18)
Carl Zeiss Jena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.68% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)42.32% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.29% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)78.71% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.13% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)8.88% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.63% (-0.146 -0.15)30.37% (0.151 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Carl Zeiss Jena 11.44%
    Bayer Leverkusen 71.83%
    Draw 16.73%
Carl Zeiss JenaDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 3.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 11.44%
1-1 @ 7.82% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.07%
0-0 @ 3.76% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.73%
0-2 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.1% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 8.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.65% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.38% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.05% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
1-6 @ 0.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 71.83%

How you voted: Carl Zeiss vs B. Leverkusen

Carl Zeiss Jena
14.1%
Draw
12.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
73.4%
64
rhs 2.0
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