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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Leverkusen logo

Borussia M'bach
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Elvedi (59'), Kleindienst (85')
Lainer (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Xhaka (12'), Wirtz (38', 90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 17 at 12pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in DFL-Supercup

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

 Although Leverkusen have not been in the strongest form since the end of 2023-24, they demonstrated that they still have what it takes to win when it matters most. Additionally, considering Borussia Monchengladbach's poor showing last term, it would be surprising if they managed to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayer Leverkusen
33.83% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12) 25.04% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 41.13% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 57.13% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.73% (0.182 0.18)46.26% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.44% (0.172 0.17)68.55% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (0.013999999999996 0.01)26.36% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)61.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (0.16 0.16)22.42% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (0.239 0.24)55.94% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 33.83%
    Bayer Leverkusen 41.13%
    Draw 25.04%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 33.83%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.13%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs B. Leverkusen

Borussia Monchengladbach
14.8%
Draw
12.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
72.8%
243
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
B. Leverkusen
0-0
Borussia M'bach
Xhaka (47'), Schick (66'), Stanisic (74')
Weigl (81')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Borussia M'bach
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Itakura (45+5'), Cvancara (45+3')
Okoh Boniface (18', 53'), Tah (45+6')
Okoh Boniface (16'), Frimpong (45+3'), Tah (45+4')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Adli (15'), Demirbay (20')
Demirbay (45'), Palacios (77'), Amiri (81')
Hincapie (90+4')
Hofmann (58'), Stindl (90')
Kone (35'), Friedrich (47'), Stindl (70')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Borussia M'bach
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Stindl (82', 90+3')
Bakker (21'), Adli (43'), Amiri (67')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Borussia M'bach
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Elvedi (81')
Stindl (45+1'), Beyer (83')
Andrich (51'), Schick (74')
Tah (28'), Bakker (36'), Demirbay (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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