Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 14.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.21%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
68.97% ( -0.69) | 16.04% ( 0.31) | 14.99% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 67.13% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.59% ( -0.72) | 23.41% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.19% ( -0.97) | 42.81% ( 0.96) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.72% ( -0.29) | 6.28% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.33% ( -0.81) | 23.67% ( 0.81) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% ( -0.08) | 28.36% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.9% ( -0.1) | 64.1% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 5% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.77% Total : 68.97% | 1-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.53% Total : 16.04% | 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.5% Total : 14.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |