MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:31:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Bayern logo

Stuttgart
3 - 1
Bayern

Stergiou (29'), Woo-yeong (83'), Wamangituka (90+3')
Anton (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kane (37' pen.)
Dier (20'), Pavlovic (78'), Tuchel (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 30 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Stuttgart 2-2 Bayern Munich

 Goals are to be expected on Saturday, as not only do these two teams boast the top two scorers in the division, Kane (35) and Guirassy (25), but they are also the two sides with the highest expected goals (xG) and have created the most big chances in the division - Bayern with 142 chances compared with Stuttgart's 119. Both teams have little riding on this fixture, but Stuttgart still have some work to do to guarantee a third-placed finish, so with that in mind, we believe that the hosts will earn a hard-fought point from an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 3-2 (5.04%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayern Munich
46.89% (0.127 0.13) 20.83% (-0.313 -0.31) 32.29% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 72.37% (1.342 1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.82% (1.679 1.68)26.18% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.55% (2.123 2.12)46.45% (-2.124 -2.12)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (0.66600000000001 0.67)12.14% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.26% (1.385 1.39)37.74% (-1.387 -1.39)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.90900000000001 0.91)17.63% (-0.91 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (1.555 1.56)48.23% (-1.555 -1.56)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 46.89%
    Bayern Munich 32.29%
    Draw 20.83%
StuttgartDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.04% (0.158 0.16)
2-0 @ 4.76% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-0 @ 4.51% (-0.366 -0.37)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.66% (0.149 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1.54% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.068 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 46.89%
1-1 @ 7.83% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 7.17% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.91% (0.174 0.17)
0-0 @ 2.14% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 4.15% (0.146 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.04 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.8% (0.114 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.066 0.07)
3-4 @ 1.26% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 32.29%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Bayern

Stuttgart
31.7%
Draw
23.8%
Bayern Munich
44.6%
101
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 15
Bayern
3-0
Stuttgart
Kane (2', 55'), Min-jae (63')

Mittelstadt (31'), Karazor (69'), Leweling (82')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Stuttgart
1-2
Bayern
Jose Perea (88')
De Ligt (39'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (62')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Bayern
2-2
Stuttgart
Tel (36'), Musiala (60')
Fuhrich (57'), Guirassy (90+2' pen.)
> Preview
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-2
Stuttgart
Gnabry (35'), Muller (44')
Kouassi (6'), Davies (90+1')
Coman (90+5')
Tomas (8'), Kalajdzic (52')
Karazor (39'), Fuhrich (50'), Coulibaly (74')
> Preview
Dec 14, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
0-5
Bayern

Karazor (64')
Gnabry (40', 53', 74'), Lewandowski (69', 72')
Davies (55')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!