Erzgebirge Aue1 - 3Borussia M'bach
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Erzgebirge Aue 1-4 Borussia Monchengladbach
Although Borussia Monchengladbach were eliminated from the DFB-Pokal last term by a 3. Liga side, it is difficult to see it happening for a second consecutive season. Given the gap in quality between the teams, it would not be surprising if the visitors comfortably won on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 58.51%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
22.47% ( -0.75) | 19.02% ( -0.3) | 58.51% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 70.09% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
