MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:52:44| >> :60:35:35:
Club Friendlies
Jul 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Erzgebirgsstadion
Dortmund logo

Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 1
Dortmund

Seitz (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benkara (20')
Adeyemi (41'), Louis Meiser (50'), Brunner (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Mainz
Sunday, July 31 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Borussia Dortmund

Even though Borussia Dortmund are without a number of senior stars, Sahin still has several talented first-team and academy players at his disposal and the Bundesliga giants should have few problems securing a comfortable win over their third-tier counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.37%) and 2-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.45% (0.148 0.15) 21.18% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 43.36% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Both teams to score 72.22% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.17% (0.369 0.37)26.82% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.73% (0.467 0.47)47.26% (-0.467 -0.47)
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (0.236 0.24)16.5% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (0.419 0.42)46.23% (-0.417 -0.42)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (0.119 0.12)13.5% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.46% (0.236 0.24)40.54% (-0.235 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 35.45%
    Borussia Dortmund 43.36%
    Draw 21.18%
Erzgebirge AueDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.35% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.025 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 35.45%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 7.25% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.91% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 8.05% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.84% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.42% (0.025 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.46% (0.026 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.97% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 43.36%

How you voted: Erzgebirge Aue vs Dortmund

Erzgebirge Aue
0.0%
Draw
23.1%
Borussia Dortmund
76.9%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!