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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 25, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern

Majer (47' pen., 55')
Svanberg (71'), Zesiger (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Musiala (20'), Kaminski (65' og.), Gnabry (82')
Kane (31'), Boey (46'), Musiala (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Koblenz 0-1 Wolfsburg
Monday, August 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 4-0 Grasshopper
Tuesday, August 20 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Wolfsburg 0-5 Bayern Munich

 Although it is too early to make any conclusions about Kompany as manager, it would not be surprising if his side comfortably won on Sunday given how much additions such as Palhinha and Olise add to the side. Additionally, if Wolfsburg perform similarly to last season, then they could struggle on the weekend and throughout 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
18.75% (-1.495 -1.5) 19.17% (-0.509 -0.51) 62.07% (2.005 2.01)
Both teams to score 62.98% (-0.834 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.07% (0.104 0.1)31.93% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.52% (0.123 0.12)53.48% (-0.122 -0.12)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-1.344 -1.34)30.04% (1.344 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (-1.645 -1.65)66.17% (1.645 1.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.03% (0.527 0.53)9.97% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.04% (1.198 1.2)32.96% (-1.198 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 18.75%
    Bayern Munich 62.07%
    Draw 19.17%
WolfsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.297 -0.3)
1-0 @ 3.6% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 2.17% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 18.75%
1-1 @ 8.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.17%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.308 0.31)
1-3 @ 7.36% (0.179 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 6.12% (0.368 0.37)
2-3 @ 4.42% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.195 0.19)
0-4 @ 3.53% (0.286 0.29)
2-4 @ 2.55% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.96% (0.132 0.13)
0-5 @ 1.63% (0.165 0.17)
2-5 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.07%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Bayern

Wolfsburg
11.5%
Draw
10.2%
Bayern Munich
78.3%
157
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
Stanisic (17'), Lewandowski (40')
Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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