Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Anderlecht in this match.