Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.