MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:14:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Mainz logo

RB Leipzig
0 - 0
Mainz


Lukeba (67'), Simons (86')
FT

Caci (20'), Mwene (27'), Amiri (34'), Barreiro (70'), Hanche-Olsen (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 4-1 Mainz 05

Leipzig have shown little mercy to the sides struggling at the bottom in recent weeks, and a similar story could play out this weekend against another. The 8-1 loss at Bayern three weeks ago will still linger in the memory despite the win over Bochum that followed, and Mainz will just hope they do not suffer the same fate this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 75.56%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 9.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
75.56% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 15.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 9.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)36.76% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.08% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.92% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)8.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.39% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)28.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.94% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)47.06% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.47% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)82.53% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 75.55%
    Mainz 05 9.12%
    Draw 15.33%
RB LeipzigDrawMainz 05
2-0 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 6.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 75.55%
1-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 15.33%
0-1 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 9.12%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Mainz

RB Leipzig
92.0%
Draw
5.3%
Mainz 05
2.7%
75
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Mainz
2-0
RB Leipzig
Jae-sung (76'), Barreiro (80')
Caci (39'), Barkok (88'), van den Berg (90')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
RB Leipzig
0-3
Mainz
Ingvartsen (9'), Ajorque (57'), Kohr (67')
Oct 8, 2022 2.30pm
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Silva (21' pen., 61'), Szoboszlai (47'), Nkunku (58')
Jae-sung (57')
Jae-sung (16'), Bell (59')
Hack (19')
Aug 15, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mainz
1-0
RB Leipzig
Niakhate (13')
Nebel (48'), Svensson (85')

Kampl (7'), Sabitzer (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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