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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
VfL Bochum

Mainz
2 - 0
VfL Bochum

Burkardt (45+3' pen., 71')
Kohr (1'), Ajorque (8'), van den Berg (84'), Amiri (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernardo (33'), Osterhage (47'), Schlotterbeck (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 8-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, March 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 VfL Bochum

Recent form suggests Bochum will not be able to move towards the top half in the closing stages of the season, but maintaining the current healthy gap to the bottom three will do, and they should at least end their barren run here. Mainz may be resigned to a bottom three finish after last week's damaging defeat, but catching Koln in 16th could give them a reprieve in the playoff, and that will likely be the target now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
59.53% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.52% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 17.95%
Both teams to score 49.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (0.00099999999999056 0)15.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)40.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55%77.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 59.51%
    VfL Bochum 17.95%
    Draw 22.52%
Mainz 05DrawVfL Bochum
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 9.83%
3-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-2 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.13%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 59.51%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.84%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 17.95%

How you voted: Mainz vs VfL Bochum

Mainz 05
43.8%
Draw
40.6%
VfL Bochum
15.6%
32
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
VfL Bochum
2-2
Mainz
Stoger (21' pen.), Schlotterbeck (82')
Bernardo (51'), Paciencia (88'), Losilla (90+5')
Schlotterbeck (59' og.), Krauss (90+6')
Barreiro (15'), Kohr (20'), Jae-sung (71')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
5-2
VfL Bochum
Jae-sung (1'), Widmer (17'), Onisiwo (28', 57', 87')
Kunde (70'), Masovic (72')
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
1-2
Mainz
Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
VfL Bochum
3-1
Mainz
Pantovic (56' pen., 59'), Lowen (80')
Onisiwo (36')
Jae-sung (14'), Barreiro (55'), Bell (65'), Stach (75')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Mainz
1-0
VfL Bochum
St Juste (48')
Stach (55'), Stoger (85'), Nebel (86'), Svensson (88')

Bella-Kotchap (70'), Gamboa (76'), Rexhbecaj (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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