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Bundesliga
VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Freiburg logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 2
Freiburg

Ordets (62')
Bernardo (32'), Masovic (45+4'), Losilla (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eggestein (36'), Gregoritsch (53')
Hofler (34'), Eggestein (42'), Sallai (45+4'), Gulde (59'), Holer (74'), Gunter (83'), Kubler (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 West Ham
Thursday, March 7 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Freiburg

 Maintaining the eight-point gap which Bochum have on the bottom three may be tough for the hosts here, considering they have lost five in a row against Freiburg and have been leaking goals at an alarming rate recently. The visitors have been struggling for wins themselves of late, but two fine results over the past week should give them a huge lift, even if there may be one eye on the trip to London coming up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawFreiburg
38.15% (-1.691 -1.69) 23.95% (0.14 0.14) 37.9% (1.554 1.55)
Both teams to score 61.66% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.38% (-0.587 -0.59)40.62% (0.588 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)63% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (-1.065 -1.07)21.41% (1.066 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (-1.666 -1.67)54.41% (1.667 1.67)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (0.52300000000001 0.52)21.53% (-0.522 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (0.795 0.8)54.6% (-0.794 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 38.15%
    Freiburg 37.9%
    Draw 23.95%
VfL BochumDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38.15%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.46% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.61% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.215 0.22)
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.297 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.309 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.31% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.199 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.091 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.9%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Freiburg

VfL Bochum
34.2%
Draw
26.0%
Freiburg
39.7%
73
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Freiburg
2-1
VfL Bochum
Doan (26'), Grifo (45+2' pen.)
Gulde (23'), Grifo (29'), Eggestein (90+2')
Paciencia (15')
Antwi-Adjej (31'), Schlotterbeck (52'), Gamboa (63'), Riemann (65')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
VfL Bochum
0-2
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (39'), Holer (51')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
1-0
VfL Bochum
Grifo (48')
Sallai (77'), Hofler (83')

Stafylidis (42'), Riemann (48'), Reis (78')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Freiburg
3-0
VfL Bochum
Kubler (5'), Sallai (16', 53')

Stafylidis (68'), Reis (70')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
VfL Bochum
1-2
Freiburg
Polter (64')
Polter (117')
Petersen (51'), Sallai (120')
Kubler (117')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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