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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
44.13% ( 0.46) | 23.26% ( 0.06) | 32.6% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 63.09% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.71% ( -0.51) | 38.29% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.43% ( -0.54) | 60.57% ( 0.54) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( -0.02) | 17.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.53% ( -0.03) | 48.46% ( 0.03) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( -0.54) | 23.27% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% ( -0.79) | 57.2% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.89% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
9 | Heidenheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
12 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
16 | St Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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