MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:41:04| >> :600:393570:393570:
Potential new EL header

Europa League
Lens logo
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Freiburg logo

Lens
0 - 0
Freiburg


Gradit (37'), Danso (42'), Said (81')
FT

Philipp (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lens and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Freiburg
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Lens 2-1 Freiburg

 With Lens coming into the game on the back of a three-game winning run, and Freiburg having lost three on the bounce, there is no doubt as to who will come into the tie with more confidence. Lens are also extremely difficult to beat at home, given the raucous atmosphere at the Bollaert-Delelis, and Freiburg have lost their last four away games, but the tie will most probably still hang in the balance ahead of next week's second leg, despite a home win looking likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawFreiburg
53.89% (-0.166 -0.17) 22.81% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 23.3% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.04% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08% (0.039000000000001 0.04)42.91% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.32% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)15.88% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)45.1% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.14399999999999 0.14)32.19% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (0.163 0.16)68.68% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Lens 53.89%
    Freiburg 23.3%
    Draw 22.8%
LensDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 53.89%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 23.3%

How you voted: Lens vs Freiburg

Lens
70.6%
Draw
13.7%
Freiburg
15.7%
153
rhs 2.0
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