MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 05:00:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Mainz logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Mainz

Paredes (18')
Wimmer (52'), Majer (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gruda (24'), van den Berg (72'), Burkardt (85')
Jae-sung (12'), Hanche-Olsen (54'), Kohr (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Mainz 05

With Wolfsburg more or less having nothing to play for besides a mid-table finish, Mainz should claim a point at the Volkswagen Arena to extend their undefeated run to nine and secure next year's Bundesliga participation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
54.39% (4.958 4.96) 22.09% (-1.276 -1.28) 23.53% (-3.676 -3.68)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.593 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (2.52 2.52)39.34% (-2.516 -2.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (2.586 2.59)61.68% (-2.582 -2.58)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.53% (2.631 2.63)14.47% (-2.627 -2.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.56% (4.855 4.86)42.44% (-4.852 -4.85)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-1.504 -1.5)30.04% (1.506 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (-1.848 -1.85)66.16% (1.852 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 54.39%
    Mainz 05 23.53%
    Draw 22.08%
WolfsburgDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.224 0.22)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.511 0.51)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.675 0.68)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.753 0.75)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.262 0.26)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.561 0.56)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.551 0.55)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.273 0.27)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.3 0.3)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.279 0.28)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.39%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.7 -0.7)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.531 -0.53)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.699 -0.7)
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.89 -0.89)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.692 -0.69)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.396 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.344 -0.34)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 23.53%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Mainz

Wolfsburg
36.8%
Draw
38.2%
Mainz 05
25.0%
68
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
1-1
Wolfsburg
Widmer (61')
Widmer (3'), van den Berg (46'), Fernandes (56')
Cerny (12')
Vranckx (16'), Jenz (27'), Casteels (54'), Svanberg (79')
Apr 30, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Wolfsburg
3-0
Mainz
Wind (5', 28'), Bornauw (13')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-3
Wolfsburg
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
5-0
Mainz
Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Mainz
3-0
Wolfsburg
Burkardt (2'), Stach (4'), Lacroix (90' og.)
Barreiro (78')

Mbabu (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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