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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
58.66% ( 0.07) | 22.37% ( 0) | 18.98% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.02% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.53% ( -0.12) | 46.47% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.25% ( -0.12) | 68.75% ( 0.12) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( -0.02) | 15.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.58% ( -0.04) | 44.41% ( 0.04) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.57% ( -0.15) | 38.43% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.82% ( -0.15) | 75.18% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.65% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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