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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
58.66% ( 0.07) | 22.37% ( 0) | 18.98% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.02% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.53% ( -0.12) | 46.47% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.25% ( -0.12) | 68.75% ( 0.12) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( -0.02) | 15.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.58% ( -0.04) | 44.41% ( 0.04) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.57% ( -0.15) | 38.43% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.82% ( -0.15) | 75.18% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.65% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.36% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
9 | Heidenheim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
12 | Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
16 | St Pauli | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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