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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Koln logo

Mainz
1 - 1
FC Koln

Barreiro (29')
Caci (28'), Hanche-Olsen (70'), Amiri (83'), Gruda (87')
Mwene (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kainz (90+5' pen.)
Alidou (28'), Chabot (66'), Uth (66'), Schmitz (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 FC Koln

 Despite Koln's tendency to nick points on the road, Sunday's game should favour the hosts. Mainz losing only two of their last 11 home games against the Billy Goats (four wins), securing 13 points from 15 under Henriksen and conceding twice in their last five Bundesliga games, with Koln letting in 11 in the same period, all point to a home victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawFC Koln
61.03% (-0.189 -0.19) 20.72% (0.068000000000001 0.07) 18.25% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.123 -0.12)40.28% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (-0.125 -0.13)62.65% (0.122 0.12)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)12.75% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.98% (-0.191 -0.19)39.02% (0.188 0.19)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (0.060000000000002 0.06)35.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (0.059999999999999 0.06)72.36% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 61.03%
    FC Koln 18.25%
    Draw 20.72%
Mainz 05DrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.61% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.4% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 61.03%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 18.25%

How you voted: Mainz vs FC Koln

Mainz 05
87.9%
Draw
9.1%
FC Koln
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
FC Koln
0-0
Mainz
Martel (50'), Uth (85')
Krauss (58'), Kohr (83'), Papela (84'), Widmer (87')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
FC Koln
1-1
Mainz
Ljubicic (51')
Ajorque (17')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Mainz
5-0
FC Koln
Ingvartsen (11' pen.), Kohr (35'), Stach (40'), Caricol (73'), Onisiwo (84')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
FC Koln
3-2
Mainz
Skhiri (60'), Ljubicic (78'), Kilian (82')
Chabot (34'), Modeste (79')
Burkardt (14'), Onisiwo (55')
Caricol (36'), Stach (65')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Mainz
1-1
FC Koln
Burkardt (41')
Bell (42'), Szalai (90+1')
Ozcan (47')
Duda (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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