Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 61.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.76%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.