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Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
Oct 9, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Arena MRV
Gremio

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Gremio

Hulk (11' pen.), Deyverson (39')
Lyanco (18'), Milito (19'), Deyverson (54'), Vera (55'), Hulk (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Aravena (24')
Jemerson (33'), Marchesin (35'), Reinaldo (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, October 5 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Gremio

While Atletico Mineiro have the home advantage in this match, Gremio have been churning out results recently, particularly on the road, where they are unbeaten in five games. We are expecting a few goals in this match, but feel there will be nothing to split these sides two at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawGremio
51.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)56.87% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21% (0.004999999999999 0)77.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)55.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.16% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.84% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)77.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 51.59%
    Gremio 22.37%
    Draw 26.03%
Atletico MineiroDrawGremio
1-0 @ 13.63%
2-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.09%
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 22.37%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio

Atletico Mineiro
49.0%
Draw
37.3%
Gremio
13.7%
51
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Gremio
2-3
Atletico Mineiro
Braithwaite (32'), Cristaldo (42')
Kannemann (71'), Marchesin (90+9')
Martins (20')
Scarpa (73' pen.), Palacios (90+3' pen.), Vargas (90+6')
Bernard (29'), Deyverson (40'), Palacios (78')
Nov 26, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico Mineiro
3-0
Gremio
Arana (25'), Zaracho (50'), Hulk (58')
Edenilson (36'), Lemos (45+3')

Suarez (50'), Da Silva (84')
Jul 23, 2023 1am
Gameweek 16
Gremio
1-0
Atletico Mineiro
Ronald (11')
Uvini (5'), Reinaldo (62'), Grando (84')

Rubens (45+5'), Saravia (76'), Lemos (89'), Santana (89')
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Nov 4, 2021 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo33208552262668
2PalmeirasPalmeiras33197754272764
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo33178851371459
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo331761047341357
7Cruzeiro33138123835347
8Bahia33137134342146
9Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
10Atletico Mineiro321012104246-442
11Corinthians331011123941-241
12Gremio33116163842-439
13Vitoria33115173848-1038
14Fluminense33107162836-837
15CriciumaCriciuma33910143948-937
16JuventudeJuventude33910144052-1237
17BragantinoBragantino33812133440-636
18Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3297163441-734
19Cuiaba33611162541-1629
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3368192450-2626


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