Brasileiro | Gameweek 32
Oct 16, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Flamengo1 - 0Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Flamengo
Thursday, October 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, October 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Ceara
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
44.95% ( -0.22) | 26.14% ( -0.08) | 28.91% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% ( 0.45) | 52.74% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% ( 0.39) | 74.37% ( -0.39) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( 0.09) | 23.38% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.64% ( 0.13) | 57.36% ( -0.13) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.47) | 32.91% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.51% ( 0.51) | 69.49% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
Flamengo 44.95%
Atletico Mineiro 28.91%
Draw 26.13%
| Flamengo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.95% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 1% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.91% |
Form Guide
