Flamengo

1 - 0

Atletico Mineiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.