Copa do Brasil | Final | 1st Leg
Oct 13, 2022 at 1.45am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Corinthians0 - 0Flamengo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, October 9 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 9 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Flamengo
Saturday, October 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
We said: Corinthians 1-1 Flamengo
Flamengo have never lost the opening fixture in their seven previous appearances in the final of this competition, though they are going up against one of the best Brazilian sides at home on Wednesday. Both of these coaches are aggressive in their tactics and have match winners who they can depend on, but we are predicting a draw because these opening games tend to be cagier affairs with less urgency, knowing that this is a two-leg final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Flamengo |
36.79% ( 0.03) | 27.42% ( -0.01) | 35.79% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( 0.03) | 56.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( 0.02) | 77.13% ( -0.02) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( 0.03) | 29.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.75% ( 0.04) | 65.24% ( -0.04) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( -0) | 29.9% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34% ( -0) | 66% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Corinthians 36.79%
Flamengo 35.79%
Draw 27.42%
| Corinthians | Draw | Flamengo |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.79% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.79% |
How you voted: Corinthians vs Flamengo
Corinthians
34.7%Draw
30.6%Flamengo
34.7%49
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2022 1.30am
Aug 3, 2022 1.30am
Nov 18, 2021 12.30am
Aug 1, 2021 8pm
Form Guide
