Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Mainz0 - 3B. Leverkusen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Mainz 05 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen
While winless Mainz have conceded 14 goals in five Bundesliga matches this season, unbeaten Leverkusen have scored 17 goals in five league outings, so we expect Alonso's men to heap more misery on the 05ers by notching another high-scoring victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 29.75% | 25.4% | 44.85% |
| Both teams to score 54.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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