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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
27.5% ( 0) | 21.66% ( -0) | 50.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 65.73% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.55% ( -0) | 33.44% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.76% | 55.23% ( -0.01) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% ( -0) | 23.96% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.8% ( 0) | 58.19% ( -0.01) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% ( -0.01) | 13.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.37% ( -0) | 40.63% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.62% 1-0 @ 4.64% 2-0 @ 3.31% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.5% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.17% 2-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.96% Total : 50.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |