Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
for
Sunday, July 21 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund may be unable to call upon a number of key players, but they will still be highly motivated to claim a win after a couple of disappointing results, and we ultimately think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory over Cerezo Osaka. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
32.78% ( 2.05) | 23.21% ( -0.01) | 44.01% ( -2.04) |
Both teams to score 63.36% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.03% ( 0.94) | 37.96% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.77% ( 1) | 60.22% ( -1) |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% ( 1.67) | 23.02% ( -1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.17% ( 2.39) | 56.83% ( -2.39) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.31% ( -0.43) | 17.69% ( 0.43) |