MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:06:13| >> :60:361:361:
Club Friendlies
Jul 24, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Sakai National Training Center Stadium
Dortmund logo

Cerezo
2 - 3
Dortmund

Shibayama (66'), Sakata (73')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Adeyemi (26', 30'), Bynoe-Gittens (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Cerezo Osaka and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund may be unable to call upon a number of key players, but they will still be highly motivated to claim a win after a couple of disappointing results, and we ultimately think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory over Cerezo Osaka. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawBorussia Dortmund
32.78% (2.05 2.05) 23.21% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 44.01% (-2.043 -2.04)
Both teams to score 63.36% (1.046 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.03% (0.94499999999999 0.94)37.96% (-0.948 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.77% (1.003 1)60.22% (-1.004 -1)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (1.665 1.67)23.02% (-1.666 -1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (2.386 2.39)56.83% (-2.387 -2.39)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)17.69% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67% (-0.758 -0.76)48.33% (0.757 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 32.78%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.01%
    Draw 23.21%
Cerezo OsakaDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.285 0.28)
1-0 @ 5.98% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.224 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.31 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.226 0.23)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.206 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.78%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.156 0.16)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.86% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.466 -0.47)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.323 -0.32)
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Dortmund

Cerezo Osaka
31.6%
Draw
26.3%
Borussia Dortmund
42.1%
19
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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