MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 16:09:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
1 - 1
Cerezo

Marcinho (36')
Yamada (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bueno (77')
Okuda (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 6 at 10.40am in J1 League

We said: Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Cerezo Osaka

Kawasaki have drawn each of their last four top-flight matches, while Cerezo Osaka have seen each of their previous three away league games finish all square, and with that in mind, we think that the two sides could play out a draw in Sunday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
40.36% (0.131 0.13) 25.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 34.53% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.07% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (-0.129 -0.13)46.42% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (-0.122 -0.12)68.7% (0.117 0.12)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.86% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.6% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.152 -0.15)26.02% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)61.05% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 40.36%
    Cerezo Osaka 34.53%
    Draw 25.1%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.36%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 34.53%

How you voted: Kawasaki vs Cerezo

Kawasaki Frontale
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Cerezo Osaka
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 7am
Gameweek 8
Cerezo
1-0
Kawasaki
Ceara (70')

Marcinho (55'), Erison (60')
Sep 2, 2023 11am
Gameweek 26
Cerezo
3-0
Kawasaki
Takai (52' og.), Ceara (72' pen.), Watanabe (90+2' pen.)

Takai (90+4')
Mar 18, 2023 7am
Jul 2, 2022 11am
Gameweek 19
Cerezo
2-1
Kawasaki
Funaki (59'), Patric (90+2')
Funaki (61')
Taniguchi (36')
Sasaki (90+1')
Apr 2, 2022 7am
Gameweek 6
Kawasaki
1-4
Cerezo
Marcinho (86')
Inui (13', 28'), Yamada (36', 68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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