MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 21:45:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 10am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Ceara (26'), Fernandes (65')
Watanabe (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kubo (76')
Mikuni (30'), Shiihashi (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Urawa
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Nagoya Grampus

Coming into this clash in a good vein of form, Cerezo should be confident of recording their fourth straight home win across all competitions on Sunday. Nagoya battled on with a numerical disadvantage during their loss earlier in the week, and we feel that it could be another difficult day for the Grampus Eight in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
35.6% (-0.219 -0.22) 27.46% (0.114 0.11) 36.94% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.43% (-0.359 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.78% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)56.22% (0.449 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (-0.36 -0.36)77.27% (0.364 0.36)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-0.357 -0.36)30.1% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-0.434 -0.43)66.24% (0.43599999999999 0.44)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.151 -0.15)29.28% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.187 -0.19)65.24% (0.19 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 35.6%
    Nagoya Grampus 36.94%
    Draw 27.46%
Cerezo OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.6%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.81% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.94%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Nagoya Grampus

Cerezo Osaka
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Nagoya Grampus
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 7am
Gameweek 9
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Cerezo
Mikuni (65'), Nagai (82')
Yoshida (23'), Mikuni (62'), Chang-Rae (87'), Ha (87'), Morishima (90+3')
Mikuni (67')
Capixaba (78')
Aug 26, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 25
Cerezo
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Uejo (9', 71'), Kitano (88')
Morishita (12')
Jun 3, 2023 8am
Gameweek 16
Nagoya Grampus
3-1
Cerezo
Izumi (21'), Maruyama (31'), Mateus (43')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
May 14, 2022 6am
Gameweek 13
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Sento (6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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