Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
RB Leipzig4 - 1Dortmund
FT(HT: 2-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, April 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, April 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Borussia Dortmund
Even though Saturday's game ideally should be tricky to call because of Leipzig's recent outstanding run on home turf and Dortmund losing one on the road all season, BVB possibly having an eye on their first Champions League semi-final in 11 years could mean Rose's troops nick maximum points to complete the double over Die Borussen this term. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
60.28% ( 0.05) | 20.02% ( 0.01) | 19.7% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
