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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
28.6% ( 0.35) | 21.83% ( 0.14) | 49.57% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 66.02% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.55% ( -0.42) | 33.45% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.76% ( -0.48) | 55.24% ( 0.48) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.73% ( 0.01) | 23.27% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.8% ( 0.01) | 57.2% ( -0) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.04% ( -0.31) | 13.96% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.56% ( -0.61) | 41.44% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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