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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
33.24% ( -0.08) | 24.45% ( 0.07) | 42.31% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.01% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.26% ( -0.37) | 43.74% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.87% ( -0.36) | 66.13% ( 0.36) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.49% ( -0.23) | 25.5% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% ( -0.31) | 60.35% ( 0.31) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.21% ( -0.15) | 20.78% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.56% ( -0.24) | 53.43% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.24% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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