Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.32%) and 3-2 (4.9%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
42.96% ( -0.12) | 21.04% ( -0) | 36% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 72.96% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.06% ( 0.04) | 25.93% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.87% ( 0.06) | 46.13% ( -0.07) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.72% ( -0.02) | 13.28% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.9% ( -0.04) | 40.1% ( 0.03) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.14% ( 0.07) | 15.86% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.93% ( 0.13) | 45.07% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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