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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Union Berlin logo

FC Koln
3 - 2
Union Berlin

Kainz (45' pen.), Tigges (87'), Downs (90+3')
Schmitz (36'), Martel (53'), Huseinbasic (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Knoche (15'), Volland (19' pen.)
Khedira (44'), Juranovic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 3-4 VfL Bochum
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Union Berlin

Koln know that they need to claim all three points to have any hopes of taking their survival fight to the final day of the season, but having lost seven of their nine Bundesliga meetings with Union, we think that the hosts could suffer another defeat in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawUnion Berlin
45.18% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 26.24% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.9% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (0.027000000000001 0.03)53.29% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)74.84% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (0.033999999999992 0.03)23.51% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (0.049999999999997 0.05)57.55% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)33.46% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)70.09% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 45.17%
    Union Berlin 28.58%
    Draw 26.23%
FC KolnDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 45.17%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.58%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Union Berlin

FC Koln
30.6%
Draw
38.9%
Union Berlin
30.6%
36
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 5.30pm
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 11, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 1, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Union Berlin
1-0
FC Koln
Awoniyi (49')
Jaeckel (5'), Becker (42'), Trimmel (55')

Ehizibue (13'), Hubers (62'), Thielmann (75')
Nov 7, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
FC Koln
2-2
Union Berlin
Modeste (7', 86')
Modeste (17'), Duda (54')
Ryerson (9'), Promel (45+1')
Baumgartl (16'), Luthe (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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