Greifswalder FC0 - 1Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, August 9 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Greifswalder FC 1-3 Union Berlin
While these types of mismatched cup ties do toss up a few shock results every so often, we do not expect to see one here, and fancy the visitors to secure a fairly comfortable victory and entry to the next round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 81.98%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Greifswalder FC had a probability of 5.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.15%) and 0-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Greifswalder FC win it was 1-0 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greifswalder FC | Draw | Union Berlin |
5.73% ( 1.22) | 12.29% ( 1.44) | 81.98% ( -2.67) |
| Both teams to score 42.14% ( 3.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
