UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Dec 9, 2021 at 8pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Basel
3 - 0
Qarabag FK

Arthur (33', 74'), Kasami (62')
Frei (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Andrade (81')

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Basel and Qarabag FK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
Basel	Draw	Qarabag FK
53.2%	22.93%	23.86%

Both teams to score 57.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.11%

42.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.71%

65.29%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89%

16.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47%

45.53%

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.31%

31.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.89%

68.11%

Score Analysis

Basel 53.2%

Qarabag FK 23.86%

Draw 22.93%

Basel	Draw	Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 5.18% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.56% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.2%	1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 6.16% 0-1 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.67% Total : 23.86%