UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 25, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Ortaliq Stadion

Kairat
2 - 3
Basel

Love (23'), Hovhannisyan (56')
Goralski (44'), Abiken (77'), Vorogovskiy (89')
Vorogovskiy (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Arthur (45' pen.), Zhegrova (69'), Kasami (73')
Pelmard (54'), Stocker (61'), Kasami (66'), Arthur (77')

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Kairat and Basel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Kairat had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Kairat win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
Kairat	Draw	Basel
34.87%	25.94%	39.19%

Both teams to score 54.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.97%

50.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.99%

72.01%

Kairat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46%

27.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.95%

63.05%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92%

25.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23%

59.77%

Score Analysis

Kairat 34.87%

Basel 39.19%

Draw 25.93%

Kairat	Draw	Basel
1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.87%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.19%