Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.