Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
INEA Stadion
Lech Poznan1 - 0Qarabag FK
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qarabag FK 0-3 Marseille
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Lech Poznan 2-1 Qarabag FK
Both sides carry a goal threat, and as domestic champions, are used to taking the initiative. Eagerness to gain a first-leg lead could open up opportunities at either end, but Lech are set to get off to a winning start under their new manager. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.19%) and 1-3 (5.14%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Qarabag FK |
36.18% ( 0) | 21.96% ( 0.01) | 41.86% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 69.29% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
