Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin2 - 1RB Leipzig
We said: Union Berlin 2-1 RB Leipzig
Union's terrific home record, combined with Leipzig's awful away form, means we are predicting a home win for Union on Friday evening. Not many sides come away from the An der Alten Forsterei with the points, and also factoring in the visitors' troubles with COVID-19, Union will be confident of achieving the victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 24.04% | 22.59% | 53.36% |
| Both teams to score 58.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% | 41.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% | 63.56% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% | 30.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.15% | 66.84% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.55% | 15.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.71% | 44.29% |
| Score Analysis |
Union Berlin 24.04%
RB Leipzig 53.36%
Draw 22.59%
| Union Berlin | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.19% 1-0 @ 5.6% 2-0 @ 3.31% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.04% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 6.08% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.84% 0-4 @ 2.4% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.36% |
How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
48.6%Draw
16.8%RB Leipzig
34.6%185
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
Aug 18, 2019 5pm
Form Guide
